Week 11 NFL Free Pick Article
By Adam Barone—This week we’re making it official and jumping on the Browns’ bandwagon.
If you haven’t yet noticed, they’re
pretty good. Apparently Vegas thinks that you’ve not noticed,
as they are only 2.5 point favorites at Baltimore.
You should have already put money on this. If you haven’t, that’s
why you’re spending money on picks.
Derek Anderson was still wearing his underwear over his pants last week when the Browns lost at Pittsburgh, but the Steelers defense all had kryptonite in their pants, so he has an excuse. Even at Pittsburgh though, the Browns made it a game.
Excruciatingly, the Ravens couldn’t score against air. They probably turn the ball over in practice against no one. Nothing they do on offense works, and Brian Billick has no frickin’ clue how to call plays. It’s tough to say if they’re even capable of scoring 2.5 points in a game.
The list of trends we could address here would
keep you here ‘til well after the game is over, so let’s
get straight to the important ones.
First, the Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. Duh. This
is good. You can pretty much just ignore the fact that the home team
is 6-1 ATS in their last seven match ups, on the premise that the Browns
are just better. It’ll be 6-2.
Quit whining, it’s 2.5 points. The Ravens
are 0-7 ATS in their last seven against the AFC and 0-4 ATS in their
last four versus the AFC North. Holy crap. Equally as pants-pooping-inducing—they’re
0-5 ATS in their last five as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. So much for
counting on home underdogs to cover.
The Browns, on the other hand, are 4-0 ATS in their last four when favored
by 0.5-3.0. They’re also 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall
and 5-1 in their last six as a favorite.
You’re saying “Yeah, but dude—if
that’s the case, then they’re due.” There are like
20 more trends suggesting the same thing. Shut your pie hole.
Alrighty, enough boring numbers. The Ravens are old. The Browns are
an up-and-coming and underrated. Understand?
Sign up for our newsletter to find out who we picked
with a 2.5 point spread for free! All of our weekly picks packages are
guaranteed, if you do not make a profit, we will give you next weeks
picks for free!
If you have any questions or would like to respond to our articles,
just email us
