Week 11 NFL Free Pick Article
By Adam Barone— Last week the Pack eked out
a win for us, barely covering the 2.5 they were given at Minnesota.
A win is a win though; you still got your money. This week’s pick
will require you to have some stones:
Take the Chiefs to beat the Saints at home. We’re not recommending
that you take the money line, but you’d look like a genius if
you pulled that off, huh?
The situation here is pretty simple. The Chefs are underrated and a home dog, while the general public is still having unsubstantiated wet dreams about the Saints. New Orleans hasn’t won a road game all season. They’re 0-4.
If you were paying attention last week you noticed
that this Tyler Thigpen kid whom the Chiefs have at quarterback isn’t
bad. He’s been especially good since offensive coordinator Chan
Gailey recently installed a college-like spread offense. Thigpen threw
for 266 yards and three scores in San Diego against the Chargers awful
pass defense. His completion percentage has gone from 42.2 to 64.7 and
his yards per game from 98 to 233.7 since the scheme adjustment.
Of course, the Saints pass defense is really much better than the Chargers.
They’re 26th in the league against the pass…
The Saints will even be missing starting cornerback Mike McKenzie and
starting defensive tackle Hollis Thomas this week, softening them even
more.
Additionally, womanizing running back Larry Johnson
will return to the K.C. backfield on Sunday. Despite apparently being
a major d-bag, the guy can really run the rock. It’s tough to
say just how the new offense will affect grand-ma-ma’s game, but
the results are likely to be positive.
Prior to his absence the Chiefs would consistently see eight, nine,
10, 11, and even 22 man fronts. It was obvious that they’d run.
The emergence of Thigpen is likely to bring some real balance to this
offense. We could finally see some results from all the young potential
we’ve been hearing about in K.C.
New Orleans has allowed eight TDs to backs this season, and six have come away from the Superdome. They’ve allowed 163.5 total yards per game and five rushing touchdowns since week seven.
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the
road and clearly has problems against both the run and pass. Just think
how smart you’ll look when you win this bet.
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