2010 NFL Free Pick Week 12

By Adam Barone

Michael Vick, the most dynamic player the NFL has seen since Barry Sanders, will pose a litany of problems for Bears’ defense and lead the Eagles to a decisive, spread-covering victory in week 12.

The Bears will fail to stifle Vick as the Giants did, while the Eagles’ pressure on Bears’ quarterback Jay Cutler will likely add to his 10 interceptions. Philadelphia leads the league in picking off opposing quarterbacks, having done so 19 times.

A combination of fantastic cornerbacks and unrelenting blitz packages generates such healthy results. The Bears make the perfect pray for that vicious a defensive predator, sporting possibly the worst combination of blockers and receivers in the league.

Bears’ opponents have successfully planted Cutler on the turf in all three of their losses. The Giants sacked him nine times, the Seahawks six, and the Redskins four. The Eagles are absolutely capable of putting that formula to use, having accumulated 26 sacks, the NFL’s ninth most.

Don’t expect running back Matt Forte to have much success either, as Philly’s eighth ranked rush defense also ranks fifth in yards for loss.

Conversely, Vick has yet to throw an interception. He’s thrown for 11 touchdowns and leads the league with a quarterback rating of 108.7.

The Giants may have made a template for slowing Vick down in week 11, but their defensive speed trumps that of the Bears, demonstrated by the gap between the Giants’ 27 sacks and the Bears’ 19. Don’t expect Chicago to have the same success pressuring the speedy lefty.

Vick’s favorite receiver, DeSean Jackson, may pose an even greater threat to goal line security on the lakefront. Jackson has posted less than 98 yards and a touchdown only a single time in games that Vick has quarterbacked from start to finish. The Cal product is a gross mismatch for the Bears’ weak secondary. Expect another 100 yard game and at least one big play downfield.

Recent match ups of these teams have reeked of domination by Philadelphia. Andy Reid’s Birds are 4-0 in Chicago since his tenure as head coach began in 1999. He should have little trouble making it 5-0, as the road team has owned the pairing; covering six of the last eight -point spreads.

Against the spread, the Birds are 4-1 on the road, 4-0 versus the NFC, 6-1 as a road favorite, and 12-4 in road games versus teams with winning records.

The Monsters of the Midway don’t seem so monstrous, having covered just three of their last ten spreads at home and four of 14 when facing a team with a winning record.

The Bears match up extremely poorly here. Trust your money with an ex-con. He won’t disappoint.

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